GotNews Editor-in-Chief Charles C. Johnson is offering Charlie Cook, the publisher of the notoriously inaccurate Cook Political Report, a $5,000 bet that Representative Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA) will be reelected in 2018.
Cook recently moved Rohrabacher’s Orange County district into the “Toss-Up” category in his often-wrong congressional map. Dave Wasserman, the US House Editor of the Cook Political Report, said Rohrabacher’s “recent sympathetic comments towards Russia and strange interactions with Julian Assange and internet conspiracy theorist Chuck Johnson could amount to self-sabotage in a district President Trump narrowly lost,” according to the Los Angeles Times.
Johnson has responded by telling Cook to put his money where his mouth is, extending a $5,000 bet in Bitcoin, “at any odds” Cook wants.
Cook and fellow elections “expert” Larry Sabato got the 2016 races disastrously wrong across the board. On October 13th, 2016, Cook falsely claimed “This race is OVER.”:
Take a close look at the new Fox News poll released tonight. This race is OVER. https://t.co/YHjQgZ96Gs
— Charlie Cook (@CharlieCookDC) October 14, 2016
Two weeks later, Cook’s publication incorrectly predicted the Democrats would pick up 5-7 Senate seats:
— CookPoliticalReport (@CookPolitical) October 25, 2016
Regrettably, Cook does not seem to have learned from his 2016 miscalculations, and is now bizarrely claiming Congressman Rohrabacher is in electoral trouble.
Johnson also noted that pollsters rarely back up their outlandish predictions with their pocketbooks. For instance, Cruz pollster and Jeff Roe lackey Chris Wilson infamously predicted Trump would lose Nebraska and even South Carolina. Johnson offered to bet him at a Fund for American Studies event in New York, but Wilson refused to take the offer up. Trump ended up carrying Nebraska and South Carolina by 25 points and 14.2 points, respectively.
In 2016, Rohrabacher won reelection by over 50,000 votes, defeating Democrat challenger Suzanne Savary 58.3% to 41.7%. Rohrabacher has only received below 55% of the general election vote once, in the 2008 Democratic wave. And even in that year, he won 53% to 43%, a comfortable double-digit margin.
Stay tuned for more.
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