It’s hard to overstate the magnitude of Ted Cruz’s victory last night.
First it’s time for disclosure. I think it’s generally unethical for commentators not to have skin in the game and that they should be up front about that skin in the game. I haven’t taken a penny from anyone affiliated with Cruz.
Senator Ted Cruz endorsed my book on Calvin Coolidge, took photos with me and my wife at the Claremont Institute dinner and elsewhere, and he and I have had half a dozen or so conversations since 2012 or so. His wife attended Claremont McKenna College, where, for my sins, I also went. (So did pro-life warrior David Daleiden and Kleiner-Perkins partner Arielle Zuckerberg. There was something in the water…)
Anyway, I like Ted Cruz. The hit pieces on him from his youth remind me of the hit pieces that have been run against me. Made fun of for being from a lower socio-economic background? Check. Hated for his conservative views? Check. Really good at things that require high IQ? Check. Tried to get in with the establishment before deciding it ultimately was useless and against our values? Check. Cruz joked about “world domination”; I got voted “most likely to conquer the world.” His college thesis set the tone of his career, just as mine did. He even loved poker–just as I loved poker in college.
Cruz’s critics don’t get him, just like they don’t get me. Sure Donald Trump is running the kind of media campaign I would run but Ted Cruz is a fellow nerd and I have his back within reason. Haters gonna hate and all that jazz. I don’t like the fact that Cruz or I am smarter than most people we meet but it doesn’t make it false. Sometimes it’s kind of awesome.
When people hear about how he rescued his sister from a crack house or how his wife told her boss to stuff it when Goldman Sachs tried to pressure Cruz into stopping the shutdown, they’ll like him too.
As professional trader turned author Nassim Taleb says, don’t tell me anything. Just let your portfolio do the talking. (I’m short Twitter & Netflix, FYI.)
I placed a bet on Cruz in London at 35 to 1 odds to win the nomination. I put down $5400. I’ll probably wind up putting still more money on Cruz because I think the betting markets that have Marco Rubio winning are wayyyyy overvalued. I put my money where my mouth is and if you want to join some of these bets, email me at email@example.com.
I’m aware that other commentators and analysts and researchers get compensated too, in tangible ways or private ways. (I’m looking at you, Fox News!) If I have time I’ll talk about how pretty much every reporter has ethics issues when it comes to covering presidential elections. Frankly I think Ted Cruz should have joined Donald Trump’s boycott of Fox News and broken the debate until Fox treated him with the deference. Cruz did really sh*t in the debate and it doesn’t seem to have mattered!
Research provided to GotNews.com by Samba.tv seems to show that while the ratings were up relative to the Fox Business and CNBC debates they weren’t up by much.
Here’s just a quick glance of Cruz’s accomplishments.
- Historic first Hispanic to win a major American primary. (Cruz drastically outperformed Romney in Texas in 2012 among Hispanics. So look for the Cruz Hispanic situation to work out.)
- Overcame dis-endorsement by Iowa heavy weight Governor Terry Branstad
- Overcame endorsement of his rival by Iowa heavyweight Sarah Palin
- Humiliated Fox News which more or less came gunning for him at his worst debate performance yet and more or less blew his major rival Marco Rubio.
- Over performed his Real Clear Politics polling average more than Marco Rubio
- Overcame massive last minute attacks from former front-runner Donald Trump, including a cynical attempt at otherizing him.
- Beat a legacy candidate down to a paltry 3% from the dynasty of a father who President, VP, CIA Director, and a brother who was a 2x President, and all the $ funding & accouterments that accompany said status.
- Beat 2 former Iowa champions: Huckabee & Santorum who were zeroed out this time. (Cruz did this with more money in the bank and 11,000+ volunteers in Iowa alone.)
- Beat the brand of the 2012 caucus winner, Ron Paul, whose son left with only 5%.
- Won in Iowa while running against ethanol subsidies, setting the stage for a confrontation with Marco Rubio and his longstanding support of ethanol.
- Won in Iowa while running against the sitting Senate President of his own party, and against the Bush establishment.
None of that is the story, which instead has the chatty drones in the media shrieking about Rubio’s 3rd place loss as a win instead.
- The experts, including Nate Silver of 538 who said Cruz had a 1 in 3 short of winning Iowa, were wrong.
- Marco Rubio won third place but no one has bothered unleashing all of their oppo on him yet because he’s in third place.
But there are several myths about Cruz which persist.
Cruz isn’t Goldman Sachs’s “bitch.” Supposedly he’s “literally in bed with Goldman Sachs” because his wife Heidi works there. She’s even in Wikileaks talking to Stratfor! OMG!
Is it true?
No. Not really. Just look at the contributions from this Bloomberg article.
If he were, why have they given him so little money? Why have they given so much to Rubio and Clinton? A revealed preference speaks for itself.
Cruz is natural born, baby.
There are only two ways to be a U.S. citizen. You are born it or you become it. We’ve had this conversation before, ad infinitum. Just so you know, George Romney, born in Mexico to polygamous Mormons, was born in Mexico. John McCain was born in Panama. Obama was probably born in Hawaii though his birth certificate is a fake (because his father is Frank Marshall Davis, the American communist.)
Mrs. GotNews.com (my wife) is a naturalized citizen. Mr. GotNews.com is a natural born citizen. Mr. GotNews.com’s children are natural born citizens because Mr. GotNews.com is a natural born citizen. It’s like vampires. You can be born a vampire or you can become one.
Of course this whole birther thing was really an attempt by Donald Trump and his friends in the liberal media to otherize Cruz. (Ha! Canada’s not really another country, is it?)
Aren’t Canadians like super nice? And isn’t the knock on Ted Cruz that he’s so “nasty”? Which is it? I’m getting confused.
Cruz actually is very well liked by the people that matter. And they like him more than the polls predict.
The mood is against Washington right now and all of the U.S. Senators who are lining up for Marco Rubio doesn’t seem to get that they are cutting off
Hell, the Courageous Conservatives PAC ran ads against the sitting governor! And it worked!