Lesson: The master humiliates and schools the media he hates by giving them a fake vice presidential candidate.
Newt to WaPo: Trump "has concluded that you guys in the media will kill him unless he destroys your credibility"
— Robert Costa (@costareports) July 7, 2016
We’ve already addressed why the decision to pick Governor Mike Pence as president won’t happen. I could, of course, be wrong and this post will be quite humiliating but I don’t think I am.
Pence is off brand and not very smart. Why would a governor without a national profile who isn’t very smart be Trump’s pick? How does an average intelligent man (to be charitable) Make America Great Again?
What if instead Trump was using Pence to raise money from Pence’s network and to signal that he isn’t so dangerous after all? That he’s willing to entertain the prospect of a cuck vice presidential candidate?
Trump would leak to the media and instruct his subordinates to leak to them as well. He would even fly people around to create an elaborate three card monty game.
Along the way Trump would get donations from Pence’s supporters in the more Establishment corners. After they had given him money, like, say $25,000 a plate in San Diego so that they would have buy in for his campaign.
It won’t work, of course, for the same reason that money can’t buy you love.
Potential Pence pick not winning over Koch network https://t.co/m8oGEwBAs3
— POLITICO (@politico) July 15, 2016
So what does Pence bring to the table? Nothing.
Trump would need that money, especially after all these corporate donors withdrew support of the Republican National Convention. The RNC, for its part, would reach out to Sheldon Adelson to pay the tab.
— The Jerusalem Post (@Jerusalem_Post) July 15, 2016
Adelson would graciously accept but only if Newt was on the ticket. Besides, it’s not that much money to him.
Bloomberg has Sheldon Adelson's net worth at $24.4 billion.
He could spend $6M a day every day for 4,000 days. cc: @politicoalex
— Steven Dennis (@StevenTDennis) July 14, 2016
Trump would even feed disinformation to his enemies, including, of course and perhaps especially the Washington Post which has mercilessly attacked him.
Trump and his allies would use cuckservative establishment reporters like Bob Costa and Bob Costa’s boss to get disinformation out, weakening his enemies at the same time.
Manafort called @edatpost tonight…
— Robert Costa (@costareports) July 15, 2016
He would also release fake information like who was speaking and when so that everyone would think it was Mike Pence who had been selected.
Manafort on Tebow: "I don’t know that Tebow was ever formally on the list as a speaker." https://t.co/hBX1WTiYiP
— Ed O'Keefe (@edatpost) July 15, 2016
And he would identify leakers, as well. He’d know the networks of all of his opponents.
They would all be busy calling each other,
We know Trump doesn’t like leakers. Why else is he suing Sam Nunberg for leaking?
Do you think that lawsuit, coming when it did against Nunberg, was an accident?
— POLITICO (@politico) July 13, 2016
Maybe Trump and Nunberg worked something out so that it’s all fake. Who knows?
We do know that Trump likes to file lawsuits but he doesn’t always fight them to completion. The court of last resort for him isn’t the Supreme Court — Ruth Bader Ginsburg
Meanwhile men like Newt Gingrich would continue building a national profile by doing Facebook events and by going in front of television every day.
Gingrich would even discuss the vetting process on Facebook so that when the moment came no one would really be surprised.
He’d be subtle about it though and would be sure to praise Mike Pence, who is very dumb, as a great friend. He’d be magnanimous because he’d know he’s already got it.
Gingrich’s Twitter page — 1.5 million followers and counting — would look like the sort of Twitter page of someone who is running for Vice President.
He would go on national talk shows. Somebody innocuous would be suggested for the VP interview.
Someone who has a limited social media presence, perhaps, like, say, Lesley Stahl. That information would be leaked to BuzzFeed, the cat pornography site, a site which has also lied about Trump.
A source w/ knowledge confirms to me that Trump and his VP pick are expected to sit down with Lesley Stahl tomorrow for Sunday's @60Minutes.
— Kyle Blaine (@kyletblaine) July 14, 2016
That’s right. You’ve never heard of her. You wouldn’t have because she hasn’t really been involved since the Bush I years.
More likely you’ll get the interview with Sean Hannity. Sean Hannity did, after all, pay for Gingrich to fly to the meeting.
Fox's Sean Hannity arranged for a private plane to take Newt Gingrich to meet Donald Trump. https://t.co/ue5KuEyIhj
— Crave for News (@CraveForNews) July 15, 2016
And Gingrich’s contract with Fox News was canceled.
That information was leaked to CNN.
— Harlan Hill (@Harlan) July 12, 2016
Who leaked it? Fox, probably.
It’s almost like those guys over at Fox are planning something. But what?
Why would Trump do that? Well, he wants Fox to like him and he wants to reward the guy who has helped him the most — Sean Hannity.
It’s almost like Gingrich and Hannity like each other. Like, maybe they have something planned.
Fox News previously suspended its relationship with Newt Gingrich in 2011 when he launched a bid for the White House https://t.co/loikigEdF4
— Oliver Darcy (@oliverdarcy) July 12, 2016
Or does the famously cheap Fox News host fly people on private jets on the willy nilly?
— Manu Raju (@mkraju) July 13, 2016
And doesn’t Gingrich sound like a Vice President here?
— Powerclam (@powerclam) July 15, 2016
Pence, who is not very bright, might even believe he has a chance at becoming vice president. Trump rewards his friends, though, and Pence didn’t endorse Trump when Trump wanted him to — and Trump won Indiana anyway.
What good is Pence?
Trump will offer a consolation prize. Of course Pence — who has 75,000 Twitter followers — would still continue to run for governor but with a higher national profile. He wouldn’t do anything crazy like withdraw himself until the last possible moment, like, say, noon.
And then suddenly a terrorist attack happens. I say suddenly but we all know they aren’t so sudden, don’t we? Muslims going to Muslim, after all.
Trump announces that he’s postponing the vice presidential decision. When? We don’t know. But if it’s after noon on Indiana, Pence is going to have a Hobson’s choice: either take a chance that you could become vice president or do the sure thing and run for re-election. Is he behaving as if he were running for re-election or running for vice president?
How’s Gingrich been behaving?
Do you really think Trump would announce his VP pick on a Friday morning?
We’ve also discussed why Trump is a genius media manipulator.
Sympathy for The Donald http://t.co/hU2QehcXAY
— Fred Slydeson (@MajorFredS) July 15, 2015
We haven’t really explored his technique — better analysts like Scott Adams or Michael Cernovich or Stefan Molyneux have at length — but we haven’t exactly ignored it either.
We’ve sat back and asked ourselves, “What would I do if I really wanted to screw with my enemies in the media and politics?” More often than not Trump has done exactly that but better than we could have imagined.
Have you watched The Apprentice? When is it ever the obvious choice who becomes the winner?
When has Trump ever done something that was expected? He loves the unpredictable. He loves the theatrical. He is a fellow troll and he will win.
Now it’s time for some disclosures: I like to bet on politics. I think of all of life as something of a bet — the house always wins in the end (sad to report but we all cash out eventually) — and so I like to take risks. I’m only really happy when I’m taking them. No risk, no reward. No guts, no glory. Courage and genius are the only things that matter.
Of course I don’t always see the same risks as other people. In fact some of the things that people think of as very unrisky I perceive to be very risky. Do you really think Social Security will exist in 20 years? Why go to college when you have a high IQ and can teach yourself? Why work for someone else? Isn’t that risky? Why follow the rules when the rules are rigged against you?
Whereas lawyers live their lives to minimize risk I live mine looking for the places where the facts are different from what everyone else believes to be true.
Most ideologies are covers for their opposites. Most things presented by the media are the opposite of what’s true. I take calculated risks and I never risk it all but I risk more than others and I usually win. I think it’s because I perceive the world very differently from most people.
I think this betting makes me a better analyst, the old Nassim Taleb’s skin in the game concept. And why shouldn’t I make money for getting it right?
I notice things that others don’t notice; I break stories that others don’t or won’t. I do research that others can’t. And I make no apologies for it. I seek to pursue the truth without fear of persecution while making as much money as possible for myself and my team while solving the puzzles that the universe has placed in my path.
You’ve helped me either by donating to gotnews.com/donate, hiring me to do research, or joining me and my research team by emailing me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
I have bet heavily on Newt Gingrich to be the next vice presidential candidate.
I have done it by developing really good sources within the Trump campaign and his orbit and I have done it through intuition.
I’ve read all of Trump’s books, I’ve read nearly every article about him on Lexis-Nexis, and I was at one point hired to do an opposition research study of Trump on behalf of a wealthy individual who has since backed Trump.
I understand Trump. That’s why I’m utterly confident that he is trolling the media with this Mike Pence pick.
One of his super powers is in controlling the optics of a moment.
He doesn’t want to waste the moment on Pence who couldn’t even get that large a crowd in Indiana this week.
Trump wants to drown out his opponents by controlling the news cycle every day until the end of his presidency. This is ultimately why his campaign requires so little money. He’s taking over your TV and won’t need to advertise on it.
Well played, Mr. Trump.